I made a horribly hackey and quick election forecast model last night for #elxn45 and this is what I came up with.
It doesn't take into account demographic or candidate adjustments, and it's almost certainly underestimating NDP and GPC seats, but it backtests well 😅
I'll post some insights I've found over the course of the night, as well as updated projections as ridings get called.
Mute the thread or the #jszym_elxn45 hashtag to shut me up.
