Over the past few years, the number of launches has skyrocketed.

There are now nearly 15 000 active in orbit around the Earth, most of them part of mega-constellations in which each satellite has a service life of only a few years.

New satellites must be quickly launched as replacements. To avoid leaving old, dead satellites in Earth’s already-crowded low orbits, most satellite operators deliberately de-orbit them into Earth’s upper atmosphere.

That approach is now being taken to a vastly larger scale and there are implications for Earth’s and .

Rocket launches already contribute to climate change and depletion.

Scaling them up to deploy a million aircraft-sized satellites would push upper-atmosphere heating and ozone loss far beyond previous estimates, with the steady burn-up of dead satellites compounding the impacts.

This is just a fraction of what is to come if planned mega-constellations go ahead. Operators worldwide have already asked for a combined total of over one million satellites.

The very smallest particles, finer than a human hair, can stay suspended in the atmosphere for years, contributing to ozone depletion and climate change.

A million satellites could mean that a teragram of alumina accumulates in the upper atmosphere – enough, alongside launch emissions, to significantly alter atmospheric chemistry and heating in dramatic ways we do not yet understand.

There is no public mandate for a single company in one country to make changes on that scale to the planet’s atmosphere.


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