Jeff Atwood @codinghorror@infosec.exchange
Public

bad news "AI bubble doomers". I've found the LLMs to be incredibly useful and reduce the workload (and/or make people much, MUCH more effective at their jobs with the "centaur" model).

Is it overhyped? FUCK Yes. Salespeople Gotta Always Be Closing. But this is NOTHING like the moronic Segway (I am still bitter about that crap), Cryptocurrency, which is all grifters and gamblers and criminals end-to-end, and the first dot-com bubble where not NEARLY enough people had broadband or even internet access, plus the logistics systems to support shipping products was nowhere REMOTELY where it is today.

If you are expecting this "AI bubble" to pop anytime soon, uh.. you might be waiting a bit longer than you think? Overhyped, yes, overbuilding, sure, but not remotely a true bubble any any of the same senses of the three examples I listed above 👆. There's something very real, very practical, very useful here, and it is getting better every day.

If you find this uncomfortable, I'm sorry, but I know what I know, and I can cite several dozen very specific examples in the last 2-3 weeks where it saved me, or my team, quite a bit of time.

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Jeff Atwood @codinghorror@infosec.exchange
Public

RE: infosec.exchange/@codinghorror

This is hilarious. I already won my long 2030 bet with Carmack on the 2030 SAE level 5 self driving cars; he essentially conceded as much in a recent email. (And I already told him, I'd also reciprocate and donate my $10k to the 501(c)3 of his choice as well because that's far more important to me than "winning".)

blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030

But I DID. FUCKING. WIN. for the record.

So y'all really think you're smarter than John Carmack on my future predictions? I'm not saying I'm the world's best futurist, but I am among the best in the world, without a doubt -- in my areas of expertise. And the whole LLM / Generative AI situation is one of them.

Talk is cheap. Any of you loudmouths wanna put your money where your mouths are on this, and take a long bet for $1m to charity on any of this? Just say the word. I'm fully DTF. Let's go.

And by the way, good luck -- 'cuz you're gonna need it. 😉

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